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Redistricting debate bare-knuckle politics
Parties fight to save, gain Assembly seats

Rhonda Cook and James Salzer, Atlanta Journal-Constitution. July 29, 2001.
Originally appeared at http://www.accessatlanta.com/ajc/epaper/editions/sunday/local_news_b336ea9144c8713700a3.html.


This time around, it really is just about politics.

Unlike in 1991, when they met to redraw political boundaries based on the 1990 census, lawmakers coming to Atlanta this week won't have to focus solely on creating as many majority-black districts as possible.

So legislators can admit their intentions for the 2001 redistricting session are purely political: what's best for the party --- be it Democratic or Republican --- is best for Georgia.

"It's not realistic to take the politics out of the process," said state Democratic Chairman David Worley. "This is Politics 101. No map is adopted without political considerations on the part of one party or the other."

Also unlike in 1991, everything will be on the Internet for the whole world to see, that is, if you like studying Georgia maps in detail and watching lawmakers debating political boundaries.

"It's an ugly, boring process," said Rep. Ben Harbin (R-Martinez), a member of the House Redistricting Committee. "It's a lot of political infighting for turf. It's important, but it's less exciting than watching paint dry."

The General Assembly starts meeting Wednesday to redraw legislative boundaries to account for shifts in the state's population in the 1990s. It will come back later to draw congressional lines.

At its base, the once-a-decade process of redistricting is about power, about who, and which party, wields it. The right lines can make it much easier for one candidate to win and make it more likely another will lose.

Among political players, what most characterizes redistricting is the urge for self-preservation. Second comes the ability to reward friends and punish foes.

In redistricting, intentions are often veiled, albeit thinly.

In the maps proposed so far, protection has shown up as a multimember district in north Atlanta putting Rep. Kathy Ashe (D-Atlanta) and another House member in one super-sized district. Republicans say the purpose is to dilute the influence of the constituents Ashe now has by lumping them in with Democratic voters. Ashe switched from the Republican Party, and the GOP says Democrats are just trying to make sure she gets re-elected.

Other maps are drawn to get rid of legislators by putting them into districts they probably can't win. For instance, a Republican House member could be put into a district heavy with voters who usually cast ballots for Democrats. Or the lawmaker's home may be moved into the district of a popular colleague.

Some of the lines will move with the population because of the growth in metro Atlanta and the lack of gains in small-town Georgia. Estimates are that six or seven House seats and two Senate seats now in the southern half of the state will shift north to reach the desired size of 45,900 people in each House district and 146,000 people in each Senate district.

That shift --- from traditional Democratic strongholds in the south to GOP suburbs in North Atlanta --- may mean Democrats will have to do some fancy line drawing to keep their majority.

"Now that Republicans make up 40 percent, roughly, of the Legislature, I suspect both the Democrats and the Republicans feel there is more at stake," said University of Georgia political scientist Charles Bullock.

Some of those shifts might suggest the GOP stands a chance of controlling the Legislature, except the Democrats still hold the majority and will draw the lines.

"The trick for the Democrats is to hold their ranks," Bullock said. "If they can hold their ranks, they can draw their plans, and the Republicans will be standing on the sidelines screaming it's unfair."

The GOP is already doing that. "Democrats have become too focused on what is in their own best interests and not what is in the best interests of the people of Georgia," Senate Republican Leader Eric Johnson of Savannah said when he released his proposed map last week. "Redistricting should not be about political power or party control or revenge. It should be about creating fair districts using an open process."

While the legal climate has changed since 1991, lawmakers still have some restrictions.

Under the Voting Rights Act, Georgia is among 16 states and cities that must clear new political maps with the U.S. Department of Justice because of a history of disenfranchising minority voters. Ten years ago, legislators and the Justice Department worked under the assumption that the law mandated as many black-majority districts as possible.

But a series of U.S. Supreme Court decisions since then, including one based on a Georgia map, have reduced the importance of race in redistricting, experts say. The courts have said legislators cannot reduce minority voting strength, but race can't be the primary concern when deciding where to put the lines.

"It's entirely different," said William Boone, a political science professor at Clark Atlanta University. "Even though race can be one of the factors, it cannot be the predominant factor. But the courts say politics is politics and they can move in a way, rather blatantly, to protect incumbents. This time around, it does not appear that you'll get as much collusion between blacks and Republicans."

In 1991, Republicans and black Democrats worked together in developing legislative and congressional maps. While more blacks were elected than ever before, Republicans came out ahead. Once African-American voters were pulled from neighboring areas and packed into districts in an effort to maximize the number of black-majority seats, those "bleached" districts favored Republican candidates.

The result was that the GOP took control of the state's congressional delegation --- increasing the number of Republican congressmen since 1991 from one to eight out of 11 members. Republicans moved closer to parity with Democrats in the General Assembly. In the state Senate, the GOP increased its stake from 11 to 24 of the 56 seats. In the House, the gain was 35 to 73 of 180 seats

"Last time around, you had members of the (Legislative) Black Caucus . . . who did not particularly see any need to be loyal to the state Democratic Party," Boone said. "This time around, it seems to be a completely different ballgame."

Black Democrats say they're not falling for the Republican strategy this time.

"They're looking to increase their numbers," Rep. David Lucas (D-Macon) said. "They did that to us 10 years ago. We're a helluva lot smarter now."

ON THE WEB
Political junkies can watch and listen to redistricting action through www.ganet.org/services/newleg/. In addition, they will have access to digitized, interactive versions of maps being proposed by lawmakers at www.georgia2000.org/, a site managed by the University of Georgia.

REDISTRICTING GEORGIA
CURRENT LEGISLATIVE SETS IN METRO ATLANTA Estimates are that six or seven Georgia House sets and two Senate seats now in the southern half of the state will shift north, meaning metro Atlanta will have more seats with many redrawn districts.